Fanatics Collect · Baseball
Baseball Infinity Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $1,000 you paid 12.7% of the time on the Live odds style.
- Pack price
- $1,000
- Min value
- $600
- Max pull
- $4,594
- Break even
- 12.7%
Published payout odds
Fanatics Collect publishes odds by value band, not per card — and it recomputes them live, from the cards still left in the pack.
Fanatics publishes one table per pack — no volatility selector. It is recomputed from the cards left in the pool, so it moves as the pack is ripped.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $600 – $850 | 52% | |
| $850 – $1,200 | 35.3% | |
| $1,200 – $1,700beats price | 7.8% | |
| $1,700 – $2,300beats price | 2% | |
| $3,300 – $4,594beats price | 2.9% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 12.7%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $1,000 pack price.
- Expected value
- $835.35– $1,177.43
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 16.5%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Odds transcribed from Fanatics Collect's in-app “Odds and expected value” screens, captured 2026-09-16. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
Cards from this pack
We have this pack's odds straight from the app, but we haven't finished cataloguing the individual cards it features yet. Those go up as we capture them — each with its grade, certification number and the value band it falls into.
What Fanatics tells you before you buy
Fanatics is the only app we review that prints its own expected value on the buy screen, and the only one that names cards and prices them. Both figures below are its own — we checked them against each other rather than taking them on trust.
Consistent with its own odds table.
A true mean has to land between $835.35 — every pull at the bottom of its band — and $1,177.43, every pull at the top. Fanatics' figure sits inside that range, 45% of the way up.
Grail
2.9%$4,250 – $4,594 stated value
- 2018 Finest Purple Refractor Shohei Ohtani ROOKIE /250 #100 PSA 9$4,586
- 2025 Topps National Sports Coll Conv Silver Major League Red AUTO /5$4,350
- 2017 Topps Chrome Aaron Judge ROOKIE AUTO DNA 10 #RA-AJ$4,250
Chase
9.8%$1,469 – $2,100 stated value
- 2024 Topps Chrome '89 Gold Refractor Elly De La Cruz ROOKIE$2,101
- 1996 Select En Fuego Ken Griffey Jr. #1 PSA 9 MINT$1,755
- 2022 Bowman Chrome Speckle Refractor James Wood$1,650
- 2024 Topps Inception Red Shohei Ohtani #73 PSA 10 GEM MINT$1,594
Base
87.3%$600 – $950 stated value
- 2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Caminero PROSPECT AUTO$1,050↑
- 2000 Topps Chrome Refractor Ken Griffey Jr. #400 PSA 9 MINT$1,045↑
- 2023 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Josue De Paula$1,000↑
- 2024 Topps Chrome Sapphire Shohei Ohtani #500 PSA 9 MINT$950
These 3 tiers partition the pull — they sum to 100%. The cards listed are a sample: each tier hides the rest behind a “Show more”, so this is not the full contents.
3 of these 11 named cards are priced outside their own tier's stated range. The furthest out is 2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Caminero PROSPECT AUTO at $1,050, in a Base tier Fanatics bounds at $950 — 11% past it. Fanatics' own disclaimer covers this — values are market data that “may fluctuate”, and the odds are recomputed live — so it is not a contradiction so much as a moving target. Read the tier range as a guide, not a bound.
Fanatics' own wording on how these odds are set
“Odds are determined by dividing the number of cards available within each price tier by the total number of cards available in the pack. Odds are dynamic, may change as cards are revealed and market prices are updated, and are accurate as of the time the page is loaded or refreshed.”
Captured 2026-09-16. Because the pool depletes as people rip, every number on this page is a timestamp, not a constant.
Captured 2026-09-16. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.