Comparison

Same price, different app

These apps price their packs on almost the same ladder — $25, $50, $100, $250, $500, $1,000, $2,500 — which means the interesting question is never "is a $250 pack worth it" but "whose $250 pack". At 12 price points two or more of them compete directly, and their own published odds disagree sharply about what that money buys.

At the 12 price points where they compete head-to-head

3.0× the break-even chance

Triumph publishes a mean break-even chance of 49.2% across its 24 packs at those tiers. Fanatics Collect publishes 16.3% across its 12. Same money, both figures from the apps' own pack screens.

The number is how many price points are genuinely contested in that sport.

Swipe the table

Every price point where these apps compete, pokemon, and what each sells at it
Price	Triumph	Courtyard	Arena Club	Fanatics Collect	CrownCards
$1 2 apps	Pokémon Starter 40% break even $0.10 – $20 · 20× ceiling	—	—	—	Pokémon Starter 40% break even $0.10 – $20 · 20× ceiling
$2.50 2 apps	Pokémon Select 50% break even $0.50 – $50 · 20× ceiling	—	—	—	Pokémon Select 50% break even $0.50 – $50 · 20× ceiling
$5 2 apps	Pokémon Basic 50% break even $1 – $100 · 20× ceiling	—	—	—	Pokémon Basic 50% break even $1 – $100 · 20× ceiling
$10 2 apps	Pokémon Signature 50% break even $3 – $200 · 20× ceiling	—	—	—	Pokémon Signature 50% break even $3 – $200 · 20× ceiling
$25 5 apps	Pokémon Bronze 50% break even $8 – $500 · 20× ceiling	Pokémon Starter 21.1% break even $17 – $400 · 16× ceiling	Bronze Pokemon no odds published	Pokémon Value 15.6% break even $12.50 – $115.20 · 5× ceiling	Pokémon Bronze 50% break even $8 – $500 · 20× ceiling
$50 5 apps	Pokémon Silver 50% break even $15 – $1,000 · 20× ceiling	Pokémon Pro 22.1% break even $35 – $800 · 16× ceiling	Silver Pokemon no odds published	Pokémon Power 30% break even $25 – $89 · 2× ceiling	Pokémon Silver 50% break even $15 – $1,000 · 20× ceiling
$100 4 apps	Pokémon Gold 50.1% break even $30 – $2,000 · 20× ceiling	Pokémon Master 23.2% break even $70 – $1,600 · 16× ceiling	Gold Pokemon no odds published	—	Pokémon Gold 50% break even $30 – $2,000 · 20× ceiling
$150	—	—	—	Pokémon Super 18% break even $62 – $910 · 6× ceiling	—
$249	—	Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) 28.9% break even $125 – $7,900 · 32× ceiling	—	—	—
$250 5 apps	Pokémon Sapphire 49.9% break even $75 – $5,000 · 20× ceiling	Pokémon Ultra 21.1% break even $175 – $4,000 · 16× ceiling	Ruby Pokemon no odds published	Pokémon Mega 14.5% break even $125 – $1,499 · 6× ceiling	Pokémon Sapphire 50% break even $75 – $5,000 · 20× ceiling
$499	—	Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) 25.5% break even $251 – $15,900 · 32× ceiling	—	—	—
$500 5 apps	Pokémon Amethyst 50% break even $150 – $10,000 · 20× ceiling	Pokémon Platinum 20.1% break even $351.60 – $8,000 · 16× ceiling	Emerald Pokemon no odds published	Pokémon Ultra 11.3% break even $250 – $4,688.74 · 9× ceiling	Pokémon Amethyst 50% break even $150 – $10,000 · 20× ceiling
$999	—	Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) 24.8% break even $500 – $31,900 · 32× ceiling	—	—	—
$1,000 5 apps	Pokémon Ruby 49.9% break even $300 – $20,000 · 20× ceiling	Pokémon Diamond 20.2% break even $700 – $16,000 · 16× ceiling	Diamond Pokemon no odds published	Pokémon Infinity 17.6% break even $480 – $5,400 · 5× ceiling	Pokémon Ruby 50.4% break even $300 – $20,000 · 20× ceiling
$2,499	—	Pokémon Legend (Spicy) 4.5% break even $1,200 – $79,900 · 32× ceiling	—	—	—
$2,500 4 apps	Pokémon Diamond 40% break even $850 – $95,502 · 38× ceiling	Pokémon Legend 17% break even $1,800 – $40,000 · 16× ceiling	Legendary Pokemon no odds published	—	Pokémon Emerald 40% break even $850 – $100,000 · 40× ceiling
$5,000 2 apps	—	Pokémon Mythic no odds published	—	—	Pokémon Diamond 46% break even $1,500 – $100,000 · 20× ceiling

Swipe the table

Every price point where these apps compete, baseball, and what each sells at it
Price	Triumph	Courtyard	Arena Club	Fanatics Collect	CrownCards
$15	—	Baseball Basic no odds published	—	—	—
$25 3 apps	Baseball Bronze 50% break even $8 – $500 · 20× ceiling	Baseball Starter 20.1% break even $17.50 – $399.99 · 16× ceiling	Bronze Baseball no odds published	—	—
$50 4 apps	Baseball Silver 50% break even $15 – $995 · 20× ceiling	Baseball Pro 22.2% break even $35 – $400 · 8× ceiling	Silver Baseball no odds published	Baseball Power 14.5% break even $25 – $214 · 4× ceiling	—
$100 3 apps	Baseball Gold 50.1% break even $30 – $1,980 · 20× ceiling	Baseball Master 20.1% break even $70 – $1,600 · 16× ceiling	Gold Baseball no odds published	—	—
$150	—	—	—	Baseball Super 17.8% break even $75 – $715 · 5× ceiling	—
$250 4 apps	Baseball Sapphire 50% break even $75 – $4,520 · 18× ceiling	Baseball Ultra 23.2% break even $175 – $4,000 · 16× ceiling	Ruby Baseball no odds published	Baseball Mega 17.1% break even $125 – $836 · 3× ceiling	—
$500 4 apps	Baseball Amethyst 50% break even $150 – $8,635 · 17× ceiling	Baseball Platinum 21.1% break even $350 – $8,000 · 16× ceiling	Emerald Baseball no odds published	Baseball Ultra 18.8% break even $200 – $3,978 · 8× ceiling	—
$1,000 4 apps	Baseball Ruby 49.9% break even $300 – $9,703 · 10× ceiling	Baseball Diamond 19.1% break even $702.90 – $16,000 · 16× ceiling	Diamond Baseball no odds published	Baseball Infinity 12.7% break even $600 – $4,594 · 5× ceiling	—
$2,500 2 apps	—	Baseball Legend 22.1% break even $1,700 – $40,000 · 16× ceiling	Legendary Baseball no odds published	—	—
$5,000 2 apps	—	Baseball Mythic 25.2% break even $3,500 – $80,000 · 16× ceiling	Crown Jewel Baseball no odds published	—	—

Swipe the table

Every price point where these apps compete, basketball, and what each sells at it
Price	Triumph	Courtyard	Arena Club	Fanatics Collect	CrownCards
$15	—	Basketball Basic no odds published	—	—	—
$25 4 apps	Basketball Bronze 50% break even $8 – $500 · 20× ceiling	Basketball Starter 18.1% break even $17.50 – $299.99 · 12× ceiling	Bronze Basketball no odds published	—	Basketball Bronze 50.2% break even $8 – $500 · 20× ceiling
$50 4 apps	Basketball Silver 49.9% break even $15 – $1,000 · 20× ceiling	Basketball Pro 21.1% break even $35 – $800 · 16× ceiling	Silver Basketball no odds published	—	Basketball Silver 50% break even $15 – $1,000 · 20× ceiling
$100 4 apps	Basketball Gold 50.1% break even $30 – $2,000 · 20× ceiling	Basketball Master 21.2% break even $70 – $1,600 · 16× ceiling	Gold Basketball no odds published	—	Basketball Gold 50.1% break even $30 – $2,000 · 20× ceiling
$120	—	SLAM 28.4% break even $69.47 – $1,400 · 12× ceiling	—	—	—
$150	—	—	—	Basketball Super 13.7% break even $75 – $730 · 5× ceiling	—
$250 5 apps	Basketball Sapphire 50% break even $75 – $5,000 · 20× ceiling	Basketball Ultra 21.1% break even $176 – $4,000 · 16× ceiling	Ruby Basketball no odds published	Basketball Mega 16.6% break even $125 – $1,384.99 · 6× ceiling	Basketball Sapphire 50% break even $75 – $5,000 · 20× ceiling
$500 5 apps	Basketball Amethyst 50% break even $150 – $10,000 · 20× ceiling	Basketball Platinum 20.1% break even $350 – $8,000 · 16× ceiling	Emerald Basketball no odds published	Basketball Ultra 15.8% break even $88 – $4,485 · 9× ceiling	Basketball Amethyst 50% break even $150 – $10,000 · 20× ceiling
$1,000 5 apps	Basketball Ruby 50.1% break even $300 – $20,000 · 20× ceiling	Basketball Diamond 20.2% break even $700 – $16,000 · 16× ceiling	Diamond Basketball no odds published	Basketball Infinity 11.6% break even $500 – $6,263 · 6× ceiling	Basketball Ruby 50% break even $300 – $20,000 · 20× ceiling
$2,500 3 apps	Basketball Diamond 50% break even $850 – $47,940 · 19× ceiling	Basketball Legend 20.1% break even $1,700 – $40,000 · 16× ceiling	Legendary Basketball no odds published	—	—
$5,000 2 apps	—	Basketball Mythic 20.1% break even $3,500 – $80,000 · 16× ceiling	Crown Jewel Basketball no odds published	—	—

Swipe the table

Every price point where these apps compete, sneakers, and what each sells at it
Price	Triumph	Courtyard	Arena Club	Fanatics Collect	CrownCards
$50	—	—	—	—	Sneaker Silver Box 50% break even $15 – $1,000 · 20× ceiling
$100	—	—	—	—	Sneaker Gold Box 50% break even $30 – $2,000 · 20× ceiling
$250	—	—	—	—	Sneaker Sapphire Box 50% break even $75 – $5,000 · 20× ceiling
$500	—	—	—	—	Sneaker Amethyst Box 50% break even $150 – $10,000 · 20× ceiling
$1,000	—	—	—	—	Sneaker Ruby Box 50.4% break even $300 – $20,000 · 20× ceiling
$2,500	—	—	—	—	Sneaker Emerald Box 40% break even $850 – $100,000 · 40× ceiling

Swipe the table

Every price point where these apps compete, watches, and what each sells at it
Price	Triumph	Courtyard	Arena Club	Fanatics Collect	CrownCards
$50	—	—	—	—	Watch Silver Box 50% break even $15 – $1,000 · 20× ceiling
$100	—	—	—	—	Watch Gold Box 50% break even $30 – $2,000 · 20× ceiling
$250	—	—	—	—	Watch Sapphire Box 50% break even $75 – $5,000 · 20× ceiling
$500	—	—	—	—	Watch Amethyst Box 50% break even $150 – $10,000 · 20× ceiling
$1,000	—	—	—	—	Watch Ruby Box 50.4% break even $300 – $20,000 · 20× ceiling
$2,500	—	—	—	—	Watch Emerald Box 48.7% break even $850 – $100,000 · 40× ceiling

How to read this

Break-even chance is the app's own number

It is the published probability of pulling a card valued at or above the pack price, read straight off the odds table. It says nothing about whether you can actually sell at that value — that is the buy-back question, and it is a separate page.

A higher ceiling is not a better pack

Ceilings here run from 8× to 32× the price. A bigger number means a longer tail, not a better expectation — and the packs with the highest ceilings tend to have the lowest floors. Read the ceiling and the floor together.

Blank cells are honest blanks

A dash means that app does not sell at that price in that sport, or we have not captured its price. "No odds published" means the pack exists and the app publishes no probability for it — which is itself the finding.

Where these numbers come from

Every price, ceiling, floor and break-even figure is transcribed from a screenshot taken inside the app, and each pack page links the capture it came from. Break-even is computed from the published bands, not estimated. Nothing on this page is adjusted or modelled.

Browse every pack