Courtyard · Pokémon
Pokémon Starter Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $25 you paid 21.1% of the time on the Distribution style.
- Pack price
- $25
- Min value
- $17
- Max pull
- $400
- Break even
- 21.1%
Published payout odds
Courtyard publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.
Courtyard's own published value distribution for this pack.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $17 – $21 | 47% | |
| $21 – $25 | 32% | |
| $25 – $50beats price | 19% | |
| $50 – $100beats price | 2% | |
| $100 – $400beats price | 0.1% | |
| Total | 100.1% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 21.1%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $25 pack price.
- Expected value
- $20.56– $29.77
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 17.8%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Odds transcribed from Courtyard's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-08. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 36 slabs this pack's screen shows you
These are not this pack's contents. Courtyard shows one vault-wide leaderboard per sport on every pack screen, cut off at that pack's stated maximum pull — we proved it across 24 screens. Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
14.6×cheapest slab shown, as a multiple of the $25 price
36/36sit in the rarest band, $100–$400 at 0.1%
0/36sit in the other 4 bands, which Courtyard's own percentages total 100.0%
- PSA10$400
1999 Pokemon Japanese #92 Sabrina's Gastly Yamabuki City Gym DK-LV.9
$3992002 Pokemon Neo Destiny #106 Shining Celebi
- CGC8.5$398.50
2000 Gold, Silver, to a New World (Japanese) Lugia Holo
$398.302019 Hidden Fates #SV59/SV94 Mewtwo GX Shiny Vault - Holo
- PSA10$396
2014 P.M. Japanese XY #071 Wailord EX FA, Tidal Storm-1st Ed
- PSA1$395
1999 Pokemon Game #3 Chansey Holo, 1st Edition
- PSA9$391.80
2003 Pokemon EX #91 Golem EX Holo, Dragon
- PSA8$390.90
2000 Pokemon Promo #13 Venusaur Holo, Black Star
- CGC9.5$390.20
2000 Gym Heroes - 1st Edition #10/132 Misty's Tentacruel Holo
- PSA9$390.10
2000 P.M. Japanese Neo 3 #229 Houndoom Holo
- PSA9$390
1999 Pokemon Jungle #3 Flareon Holo, No Symbol
$3892006 Pokemon EX #98 Swampert EX Holo, Crystal Guardians
$3882000 Pokemon Rocket #25 Dark Gyarados
- CGC9$387.60
1999 Fossil - Unlimited #5/62 Gengar Holo
- PSA9$386.20
2000 Pokemon Gym Chal #11 Lt. Surge's Raichu Holo-1st Edition
- PSA10$386
2019 Pokemon Sun & Moon #228 Garchomp & Giratina GX FA, Unified Minds
$3822000 Pokemon Gym Chal #12 Misty's Golduck Holo-1st Edition
$381.102019 Pokemon Sun & Moon #197 Muk & Alolan Muk GX Unbroken Bonds-FA
- PSA10$380
1998 Pokemon French #63 Carapuce 1st Edition
- PSA10$378.40
2024 Pokemon SVP EN #075 Mimikyu Paldean Fates P.C. ETB
$3782020 Pokemon JPN S-P #127 Player's Ceremony 2019-20 Championship
- PSA9$378
2002 P.M. Japanese 1st Ed. #049 Ampharos Holo, Wind from the Sea
$3782009 P.M. Japanese Promo #051 Victory Medal Battle Tour 09' K.O. Btl.
- CGC10$377.40
2022 Star Birth (Japanese) #103/100 Charizard V Super Rare - Holo
- PSA8$377
2006 Pokemon EX #15 Raichu Rev.Foil, Holon Phantoms
$376.502019 P.M. SM Black Star #SM166 Magikarp & Wailord GX Promo-TWR SPLH -G.B.
- PSA10$373
2016 Pokemon XY #45 Nidoking Rev.Foil, Evolutions
- CGC10$372.10
2021 Fusion Strike #279/264 Espeon VMAX
$3712023 Pokemon SV2a KO #205 Mew ex Special Art Rare
- CGC10$370.30
2024 Black Star Promos #131 Kingdra ex Kingdra ex Illustration Collection
- PSA10$367.80
2025 Pokemon PRE EN #179 Pikachu ex Hyper Rare
$366.302025 Pokemon MEG EN #179 Mega Lucario ex FA, Special Illustration Rare
$3662020 P.M. IDN. Sun & Moon #249 Misty & Lorelei FA, Tag Team Collection-Set B
$365.602017 Pokemon Sun & Moon #150 Charizard GX FA, Burning Shadows-Secret
- CGC10$364.90
2023 Triplet Beat (Japanese) #080/073 Magikarp Art Rare - Holo
- CGC7$364.70
2000 Team Rocket - 1st Edition #3/82 Dark Blastoise Holo
13 of these 36 have a slab image captured; the rest show their grade until we photograph them. We read 36 of an observed 49 positions, so the real window extends below the cheapest slab here. Courtyard's 5 bands sum to 100.1% — its rounding, not ours.
Captured 2026-09-08. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.