24 packs · 3 sports · every figure from the app's own screens

Triumph by the numbers

Four things you only see when you put every pack side by side.

50%

Paying 2,500× more doesn't improve your odds

Chance of pulling a card worth at least the pack price.

Normal High
0% 20% 40% 60% $1 $10 $100 $1,000 Normal · 50% High · 20% Pokémon Starter · $1 · Normal 40% Pokémon Starter · $1 · High 20% Pokémon Select · $2.50 · Normal 50% Pokémon Select · $2.50 · High 20% Pokémon Basic · $5 · Normal 50% Pokémon Basic · $5 · High 20% Pokémon Signature · $10 · Normal 50% Pokémon Signature · $10 · High 20% Pokémon Bronze · $25 · Normal 50% Pokémon Bronze · $25 · High 20.1% Pokémon Silver · $50 · Normal 50% Pokémon Silver · $50 · High 20.1% Pokémon Gold · $100 · Normal 50.1% Pokémon Gold · $100 · High 20% Pokémon Sapphire · $250 · Normal 49.9% Pokémon Sapphire · $250 · High 20.1% Pokémon Amethyst · $500 · Normal 50% Pokémon Amethyst · $500 · High 20% Pokémon Ruby · $1,000 · Normal 49.9% Pokémon Ruby · $1,000 · High 20% Pokémon Diamond · $2,500 · Normal 40% Pokémon Diamond · $2,500 · High 20% Basketball Bronze · $25 · Normal 50% Basketball Bronze · $25 · High 19.9% Basketball Silver · $50 · Normal 49.9% Basketball Silver · $50 · High 20% Basketball Gold · $100 · Normal 50.1% Basketball Gold · $100 · High 20% Basketball Sapphire · $250 · Normal 50% Basketball Sapphire · $250 · High 20.1% Basketball Amethyst · $500 · Normal 50% Basketball Amethyst · $500 · High 20% Basketball Ruby · $1,000 · Normal 50.1% Basketball Ruby · $1,000 · High 19.9% Basketball Diamond · $2,500 · Normal 50% Baseball Bronze · $25 · Normal 50% Baseball Bronze · $25 · High 20% Baseball Silver · $50 · Normal 50% Baseball Silver · $50 · High 19.9% Baseball Gold · $100 · Normal 50.1% Baseball Gold · $100 · High 19.9% Baseball Sapphire · $250 · Normal 50% Baseball Sapphire · $250 · High 20% Baseball Amethyst · $500 · Normal 50% Baseball Amethyst · $500 · High 20% Baseball Ruby · $1,000 · Normal 49.9% Baseball Ruby · $1,000 · High 20.1% Starter · 40%Diamond · 40%
Flat. 22 of 24 packs break even 50% of the time — from $1 to $2,500. The two that differ are the cheapest and the dearest, and both are worse.
20×

Every pack caps at 20× its price — except four

Maximum pull divided by what the pack costs.

0× 10× 20× 30× 40× 20× rule Pokémon Starter · $1 Pokémon Starter · pays $1 · floor $0.10 · max pull $20 · 20.0× the price Select · $2.50 Pokémon Select · pays $2.50 · floor $0.50 · max pull $50 · 20.0× the price Basic · $5 Pokémon Basic · pays $5 · floor $1 · max pull $100 · 20.0× the price Signature · $10 Pokémon Signature · pays $10 · floor $3 · max pull $200 · 20.0× the price Bronze · $25 Pokémon Bronze · pays $25 · floor $8 · max pull $500 · 20.0× the price Silver · $50 Pokémon Silver · pays $50 · floor $15 · max pull $1,000 · 20.0× the price Gold · $100 Pokémon Gold · pays $100 · floor $30 · max pull $2,000 · 20.0× the price Sapphire · $250 Pokémon Sapphire · pays $250 · floor $75 · max pull $5,000 · 20.0× the price Amethyst · $500 Pokémon Amethyst · pays $500 · floor $150 · max pull $10,000 · 20.0× the price Ruby · $1,000 Pokémon Ruby · pays $1,000 · floor $300 · max pull $20,000 · 20.0× the price Diamond · $2,500 Pokémon Diamond · pays $2,500 · floor $850 · max pull $95,502 · 38.2× the price 38.2× Basketball Bronze · $25 Basketball Bronze · pays $25 · floor $8 · max pull $500 · 20.0× the price Silver · $50 Basketball Silver · pays $50 · floor $15 · max pull $1,000 · 20.0× the price Gold · $100 Basketball Gold · pays $100 · floor $30 · max pull $2,000 · 20.0× the price Sapphire · $250 Basketball Sapphire · pays $250 · floor $75 · max pull $5,000 · 20.0× the price Amethyst · $500 Basketball Amethyst · pays $500 · floor $150 · max pull $10,000 · 20.0× the price Ruby · $1,000 Basketball Ruby · pays $1,000 · floor $300 · max pull $20,000 · 20.0× the price Diamond · $2,500 Basketball Diamond · pays $2,500 · floor $850 · max pull $47,940 · 19.2× the price Baseball Bronze · $25 Baseball Bronze · pays $25 · floor $8 · max pull $500 · 20.0× the price Silver · $50 Baseball Silver · pays $50 · floor $15 · max pull $995 · 19.9× the price Gold · $100 Baseball Gold · pays $100 · floor $30 · max pull $1,980 · 19.8× the price Sapphire · $250 Baseball Sapphire · pays $250 · floor $75 · max pull $4,520 · 18.1× the price 18.1× Amethyst · $500 Baseball Amethyst · pays $500 · floor $150 · max pull $8,635 · 17.3× the price 17.3× Ruby · $1,000 Baseball Ruby · pays $1,000 · floor $300 · max pull $9,703 · 9.7× the price 9.7×
One $95,502 Torchic lifts Pokémon Diamond to 38.2×. Baseball goes the other way — Ruby costs the same $1,000 as its Pokémon and basketball twins and caps at less than half their ceiling.
77¢

At worst you get back 77¢ of every dollar

If every pull landed at the bottom of its odds band.

Normal 77.1% median floor across 24 packs
High 59.4% High never lifts the floor in any pack

A floor, not an average — the top odds band has no upper bound, so the best case can't be computed from published odds.

8/9

Triumph's prices are a formula

Divide any in-app valuation by 1.02.

Swipe the table

Each matched card, what Triumph offered, and that offer divided by 1.02
Card Grade Triumph pays ÷ 1.02
Michael Jordan PSA 9 $47,940.00 $47,000.00
LeBron James PSA 8 $18,360.00 $18,000.00
Michael Jordan PSA 8 $18,194.76 $17,838.00
Shaquille O'Neal PSA 10 $15,903.84 $15,592.00
LeBron James PSA 10 $8,160.00 $8,000.00
Kobe Bryant PSA 10 $3,060.00 $3,000.00
Michael Jordan PSA 9 $1,962.48 $1,924.00
Dominique Wilkins PSA 9 $949.84 $931.2157
Isiah Thomas PSA 9 $484.50 $475.00

Eight arbitrary valuations don't divide to whole dollars by chance. The base is a real sold price and the app adds 2% — which is why the buyback reads 102% of market and the spread is only 100.3–107.9%. The one exception lands on $931.22, itself a real non-round sale.

Read the full Triumph review → See the 24 packs