Courtyard · Pokémon

Pokémon Ultra Pack

The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $250 you paid 21.1% of the time on the Distribution style.

Pack price: $250
Min value: $175
Max pull: $4,000
Break even: 21.1%

Read the Courtyard review All Pokémon packs

Published payout odds

Courtyard publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.

Courtyard's own published value distribution for this pack.

Distribution pack style — payout odds by value band
Pull value	Chance	Share
$175 – $215	67%
$215 – $250	12%
$250 – $500beats price	18%
$500 – $1,000beats price	3%
$1,000 – $4,000beats price	0.1%
Total	100.1%

Chance of at least breaking even: 21.1%; Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $250 pack price.
Expected value: $204.05– $298.05; Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
House edge (worst case): 18.4%; From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.

Odds transcribed from Courtyard's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-08. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.

The 36 slabs this pack's screen shows you

These are not this pack's contents. Courtyard shows one vault-wide leaderboard per sport on every pack screen, cut off at that pack's stated maximum pull — we proved it across 24 screens. Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.

4.7×cheapest slab shown, as a multiple of the $250 price

36/36sit in the rarest band, $1,000–$4,000 at 0.1%

0/36sit in the other 4 bands, which Courtyard's own percentages total 100.0%

$3,719
2005 EX Deoxys #105/107 Latias Holo
CGC4
$3,678
2019 Pokemon Sun & Moon #170 Latias & Latios GX FA, Team Up
PSA8cert 54001977
PSA10
$3,542.60
1999 Pokemon Fossil #20 Gengar 1st Edition
PSA10cert 102211827
$3,059.40
2010 P.M. Japanese Promo #073 Palkia Holo, Lgdry. P.M. Present Camp
PSA10cert 63249036
$2,849
2003 Pokemon Aquapolis #104 Psyduck Rev.Foil
PSA7cert 133844722
$2,811.60
2023 Pokemon SVP EN #085 Pikachu / Grey Felt Hat Pokemon X Van Gogh
PSA10cert CERT-DISPUTED
$2,780.60
1998 P.M. Japanese Vending #25 Ooyama's Pikachu Series III
PSA9cert 108308857
$2,680
2003 Pokemon Aquapolis #H13 Jumpluff Holo
PSA10cert 45343052
$2,651
2001 P.M. Japanese VS #142 Rocket's Tyranitar Holo-1st Edition
PSA10cert 28846626
$2,545
2005 EX Delta Species #28 Slowking Rev. Foil
PSA10cert 26928052
$2,513.30
2002 Legendary Collection #11 Gengar Rev.Foil
PSA5cert 127095440
$2,459
2019 Pokemon Sun & Moon #117 Greninja Holo, Unbroken Bonds
PSA10cert 44532152
$2,446.60
2018 Pokemon Sun & Moon #226 Mimikyu GX FA, Lost Thunder-Secret
PSA10cert 112646737
PSA9
$2,422
2002 Pokemon Neo Destiny #14 Light Dragonite Holo, 1st Edition
PSA9cert 71902705
$2,359.60
2019 Pokemon Sun & Moon #165 Gengar & Mimikyu GX Team Up-FA
PSA9cert 100116291
PSA9
$2,358
2001 P.M. Neo Revelation #14 Suicune Holo, 1st Edition
PSA9cert 41116174
$2,352.10
2019 Pokemon Sun & Moon #241 Pikachu FA, Cosmic Eclipse - Secret
PSA10cert 69405729
$2,351
2012 Pokemon B & W #119 Ho-Oh EX F.A., Dragons Exalted-Holo
PSA9cert 40751073
$2,264
2004 Pokemon EX #108 Gengar EX Holo, Fire Red & Leaf Green
PSA8cert 78332144
$2,243.80
2006 EX Holon Phantoms #5/110 Deoxys Reverse Holo
CGC10
$2,233.20
2005 Pokemon EX #117 Celebi EX Holo, Unseen Forces
PSA8cert 156454683
PSA5
$2,203.70
1999 Pokemon Game #2 Blastoise Holo, 1st Edition
PSA5cert 122670947
$2,096
2005 Pokemon Gold Star #113 Entei Holo, EX Unseen Forces
PSA8cert 48522390
$2,028.60
2010 Pokemon HG & SS #94 Gengar Holo, Triumphant
PSA8cert 120943132
PSA8
$1,821.30
2000 Pokemon Gym Heroes #14 Sabrina's Gengar Holo-1st Edition
PSA8cert 68510403
$1,818.40
2001 Pokemon Promo #40 Pokemon Center-N.Y. Black Star
PSA7cert 109744341
PSA9
$1,714.50
2015 Pokemon XY #149 Primal Kyogre EX FA, Primal Clash
PSA9cert 80139920
PSA5
$1,692.60
1999 Pokemon Game #4 Charizard Holo, Shadowless
PSA5cert 57472571
$1,446.70
2004 Poké Card Creator Pack #3/5 Torchic Kids' W/th! Poké Card Creator Contest
CGC7.5
$1,422.60
1998 P.M. Japanese Vending #133 Eevee Series 1
PSA10cert 70621055
PSA9
$1,421.30
2025 Pokemon PRE EN #161 Umbreon ex Special Illustration Rare
PSA9cert 140354985
PSA10
$1,405.10
1999 P.M. Japanese Neo #157 Bakufun Holo, Double White Star
PSA10cert 10060021
$1,301.20
2000 Pokemon Gym Chal. #29 Sabrina's Gengar 1st Edition
PSA9cert 52352144
$1,218.80
2003 EX Sandstorm #96/100 Gardevoir ex Holo
CGC10
$1,218.60
2002 Pokemon Japanese #025/P Umbreon McDonald's Promo
PSA9cert 144176157
$1,176.70
2019 Pokemon Sun & Moon #199 Marshadow & Machamp GX Unbroken Bonds-FA
PSA10cert 80139935

27 of these 36 have a slab image captured; the rest show their grade until we photograph them. We read 36 of an observed 50 positions, so the real window extends below the cheapest slab here. Courtyard's 5 bands sum to 100.1% — its rounding, not ours.

Captured 2026-09-08. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.