Courtyard · Pokémon
Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $499 you paid 25.5% of the time on the Distribution style.
- Pack price
- $499
- Min value
- $251
- Max pull
- $15,900
- Break even
- 25.5%
Published payout odds
Courtyard publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.
Courtyard's own published value distribution for this pack.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $251 – $375 | 38% | |
| $375 – $499 | 37% | |
| $499 – $998beats price | 21% | |
| $998 – $1,900beats price | 4% | |
| $1,900 – $15,900beats price | 0.5% | |
| Total | 100.5% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 25.5%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $499 pack price.
- Expected value
- $388.34– $692.21
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 22.2%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $1,900 all the way to $15,900. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Odds transcribed from Courtyard's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-08. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 36 slabs this pack's screen shows you
These are not this pack's contents. Courtyard shows one vault-wide leaderboard per sport on every pack screen, cut off at that pack's stated maximum pull — we proved it across 24 screens. Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
11.2×cheapest slab shown, as a multiple of the $499 price
36/36sit in the rarest band, $1,900–$15,900 at 0.5%
0/36sit in the other 4 bands, which Courtyard's own percentages total 100.0%
- PSA10$15,264
2019 Pokemon Sun & Moon #170 Latias & Latios GX FA, Team Up
$14,8712003 Pokemon Skyridge #H7 Flareon Holo
$12,9352000 Pokemon Gym Chal. #4 Erika's Venusaur Holo - 1st Edition
$12,7752002 Pokemon Expedition #1 Alakazam Holo
$11,701.902015 Pokemon XY #98 M Rayquaza EX FA, Ancient Origins
$11,5942000 Topps Chrome #53 Persian Pokemon T.V. - Tekno
$10,123.301999 Pokemon Game #2 Blastoise Holo, 1st Edition
- BGS10$10,043.60
2016 Expansion Pack 20th Anniversary Japanese #61 Mega Charizard EX Full Art SR
$9,789.402019 P.M. SM Black Star #SM201 Reshiram & Charizard GX FA, Promo - Figure Collection
$9,3812016 P.M. JPN. XY Promo #208 Poncho-Wearing Pikachu M.C. Y Pikachu Special Box
$9,304.302014 P.M. Japanese XY #090 Gengar EX FA, Phantom Gate-1st Ed.
$9,1952002 Pokemon Neo Destiny #107 Shining Charizard 1st Edition
$8,859.502000 Pokemon GM. Promo #54 Misty's Psyduck T.D. Mag - Wiz Gold Stamp
$8,532.302009 Pokemon Japanese #043 Gengar LV.X Holo, Advent of Arceus-1st Ed.
$8,3982001 P.M. Neo Revelation #3 Celebi Holo, 1st Edition
$8,2402010 P.M. Japanese Promo #071 Kyogre Holo, Lgdry P.M. Present Camp.
$8,1822017 Pokemon Sun & Moon #78 Mewtwo GX Shining Legends - Secret
$8,112.102016 P.M. JPN. XY Promo #230 Poncho-Wear. Pikachu Rayquaza P.W. Pikachu Box
$7,777.401999 P.M. Japanese Promo #17 Hama-chan's Slowking Glossy-Corocoro Comics
$7,7282003 Pokemon Skyridge #H20 Moltres Holo
$7,657.201999 P.M. Japanese Gym 2 #94 Sabrina's Gengar Holo
$7,5312005 Pokemon Gold Star #113 Metagross Holo, EX Delta Species
$7,525.102004 P.M. Japanese Play #013 Mew Holo, 2nd Season Sub. - Promo
$7,4142000 Pokemon Rocket #83 Dark Raichu Holo, 1st Edition
$7,0251999 Pokemon Game #10 Mewtwo Holo, 1st Edition
- CGC10$6,780
2021 Eevee Heroes (Japanese) #071/069 Flareon V
$6,540.402001 P.M. Japanese Promo #249 Lugia Holo, Game Boy
$6,318.302020 P.M. SM Black Star #SM241 Umbreon & Darkrai GX Prm-Tag Team Pwr Cll.
$6,309.402004 Pokemon EX #105 Charizard EX Holo, Fire Red Leaf Green
$6,238.802005 P.M. JPN. Master Kit #003 Rayquaza EX Holo, Side Deck 1st Ed.
- PSA10$6,212.60
1996 P.M. Japanese Fossil #151 Mew Holo
$6,024.802005 P.M. Japanese #001 Pikachu Holo, Gift Box Mew - Gold Star
$5,977.502012 P.M. Japanese B & W #159 Zekrom EX Full Art, Promo
$5,8881998 P.M. Japanese Vending #150 Mewtwo Series 1
$5,8012008 Pokemon Japanese #092 Charizard Holo, Stormfront-1st Ed
$5,586.402000 Pokemon Neo Genesis #9 Lugia Holo, 1st Edition
32 of these 36 have a slab image captured; the rest show their grade until we photograph them. We read 36 of an observed 50 positions, so the real window extends below the cheapest slab here. Courtyard's 5 bands sum to 100.5% — its rounding, not ours.
Captured 2026-09-08. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.