CrownCards · Basketball
Basketball Bronze Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $25 you paid 50.2% of the time on the Normal style.
- Pack price
- $25
- Min value
- $8
- Max pull
- $500
- Break even
- 50.2%
Published payout odds
CrownCards publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the volatility you pick.
The default distribution. Most weight in the middle bands.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $8 – $10 | 16.05% | |
| $10 – $25 | 33.8% | |
| $25 – $30beats price | 30.39% | |
| $30 – $35beats price | 6.92% | |
| $35 – $45beats price | 9.83% | |
| $45 – $500beats price | 3.01% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 50.2%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $25 pack price.
- Expected value
- $19.13– $41.07
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 23.5%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $45 all the way to $500. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Shifts weight out of the middle bands into Uncommon and Grail — a wider swing both ways.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $8 – $10 | 15.09% | |
| $10 – $25 | 64.89% | |
| $25 – $30beats price | 4.02% | |
| $30 – $35beats price | 1.51% | |
| $35 – $45beats price | 4.63% | |
| $45 – $500beats price | 9.86% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 20%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $25 pack price.
- Expected value
- $15.21– $70.85
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 39.2%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $45 all the way to $500. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Also a two-outcome barbell, with a larger Grail share than Max but a lower Grail floor.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $8 – $10 | 79.68% | |
| $45 – $500beats price | 20.32% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 20.3%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $25 pack price.
- Expected value
- $15.52– $109.57
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 37.9%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $45 all the way to $500. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Odds transcribed from CrownCards's in-app “Estimated Odds & Values” screens, captured 2026-09-15. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 5 items this pack's Top Pulls screen shows
These are not this pack's contents. CrownCards draws this window from the pack's ceiling, not from what it holds . Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
99.5%of this pack's $500 stated ceiling is reached by its top item
20×the $25 price, for the single dearest item shown
5 of 15the screen shows five and offers “View More 10 Items” below them
- 1Kon Knueppel [RayWave Aqua Refractor] #254Top Grail$497.49
- 2Stephen Curry [Blac…$493.50
- 3Cooper Flagg #12$493.44
- 4Vj Edgecombe [Blac…$491.42
- 5Dylan Harper [Blue R…$484.11
Captured 2026-09-15 from CrownCards' own pack screen. Every item on the screen carries the Grail tag — the rarest of its six bands, which on this pack is a 3.01% chance on the Normal setting. So the gallery shows you the top band and nothing else. 3 of these 5 names are cut off by the app itself; they are recorded exactly as displayed rather than completed by us. Across all 23 Top Pulls screens we captured, the headline item lands between 75.6% and 100% of its pack's stated maximum and never above it.
Captured 2026-09-15. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.