Courtyard · Basketball
Basketball Pro Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $50 you paid 21.1% of the time on the Distribution style.
- Pack price
- $50
- Min value
- $35
- Max pull
- $800
- Break even
- 21.1%
Published payout odds
Courtyard publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.
Courtyard's own published value distribution for this pack.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $35 – $45 | 63% | |
| $45 – $50 | 16% | |
| $50 – $100beats price | 19% | |
| $100 – $200beats price | 2% | |
| $200 – $800beats price | 0.1% | |
| Total | 100.1% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 21.1%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $50 pack price.
- Expected value
- $40.95– $60.15
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 18.1%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Odds transcribed from Courtyard's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-08. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 36 slabs this pack's screen shows you
These are not this pack's contents. Courtyard shows one vault-wide leaderboard per sport on every pack screen, cut off at that pack's stated maximum pull — we proved it across 24 screens. Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
13.7×cheapest slab shown, as a multiple of the $50 price
36/36sit in the rarest band, $200–$800 at 0.1%
0/36sit in the other 4 bands, which Courtyard's own percentages total 100.0%
$8002021 National Treasures #CMT Cameron Thomas Colossal Material Auto.
$788.801986 Fleer Sticker #10 Isiah Thomas
$784.501996 Fleer #4 Michael Jordan Decade of Excellence
$7802022 Donruss Optic #230 Andrew Nembhard Signature-Gold
$7742016 U.D. Euroleague #23 Luka Doncic Rainbow Foil
$767.602017 Panini Prizm #16 Jayson Tatum Silver Prizm
- PSA8$765
1997 Ultra Star Power #4 Shaquille O'Neal Plus
- PSA9$758.70
2025 Topps Chrome #H-5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Helix
- PSA10$758
2023 Prizm #152 Brandon Miller Blue
$756.102023 Mosaic #230 Amen Thompson Gold Fast Break
$7511973 Topps #135 Bob McAdoo
$7502020 Contenders #125 LaMelo Ball Premium Edition Autograph
$7502003 UD Exquisite Coll. #45 Keith Bogans Autograph Patch
- CGC9$748
1996 Fleer Metal #3 Kobe Bryant Freshly Forged
- PSA10$738
2024 Donruss Optic #6 Ja Morant Downtown
$734.801998 Finest #81 Michael Jordan
- PSA10$730
2024 Bowman U Sapphire #16 Cooper Flagg Purple
$7301995 Metal #4 Michael Jordan Scoring Magnet
- PSA10$729.60
2024 Prizm #268 Reed Sheppard White Prizm
$729.502025 Topps #AK-25 Walter Clayton Jr. All Kings
- PSA10$725
2021 Prizm #314 Jalen Suggs Mojo Prizm
- PSA10$725
1986 Fleer #69 Moses Malone
- PSA10$721.20
2021 Mosaic #3 Stephen Curry Stained Glass
- PSA7$720
2024 Silhouette #VST-CAD Cade Cunningham Vet Ssn Tkt Au-Ticket Stub
- PSA9$715
2018 Panini Spectra #6 Luka Doncic Neon Pink
- PSA10$710
2022 Crown Royale #22 Jabari Smith Jr. Kaboom!
- PSA10$709.90
2025 Topps Chrome #251 Cooper Flagg X-Fractor
- PSA9$704.40
1986 Fleer #9 Larry Bird
- PSA10$700
2012 Panini Prizm #110 Zach Randolph
- BGS9.5$700
2019 Panini Flawless #VPA-RJB RJ Barrett Vertical Patch Autographs
- PSA10$699.90
2003 Topps Chrome #115 Dwyane Wade
- PSA10$698
1989 Converse Larry Bird
- PSA10$697
2025 Topps Chrome #GC-2 Nikola Jokic Glass Canvas
- PSA10$695.30
2025 Topps Sapphire #SS-2 Dylan Harper Sapphire Selections
- PSA10$695
2025 Topps #150 LeBron James Team Color Border Variation
- PSA10$686
2022 Contenders Optic #118 Paolo Banchero Autograph-Red
13 of these 36 have a slab image captured; the rest show their grade until we photograph them. Courtyard's 5 bands sum to 100.1% — its rounding, not ours.
Captured 2026-09-08. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.