CrownCards · Basketball
Basketball Silver Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $50 you paid 50% of the time on the Normal style.
- Pack price
- $50
- Min value
- $15
- Max pull
- $1,000
- Break even
- 50%
Published payout odds
CrownCards publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the volatility you pick.
The default distribution. Most weight in the middle bands.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $15 – $20 | 22.6% | |
| $20 – $50 | 27.4% | |
| $50 – $55beats price | 13.7% | |
| $55 – $65beats price | 17.2% | |
| $65 – $90beats price | 14.8% | |
| $90 – $1,000beats price | 4.3% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 50%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $50 pack price.
- Expected value
- $38.67– $93.26
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 22.7%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $90 all the way to $1,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Shifts weight out of the middle bands into Uncommon and Grail — a wider swing both ways.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $15 – $20 | 27.3% | |
| $20 – $50 | 52.7% | |
| $50 – $55beats price | 1.6% | |
| $55 – $65beats price | 2.7% | |
| $65 – $90beats price | 4.7% | |
| $90 – $1,000beats price | 11% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 20%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $50 pack price.
- Expected value
- $29.88– $148.68
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 40.2%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $90 all the way to $1,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Collapses to two outcomes: the floor band or Grail. Every pack offering it is exactly 90/10.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $15 – $20 | 90% | |
| $250 – $1,000beats price | 10% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 10%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $50 pack price.
- Expected value
- $38.50– $118
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 23%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Also a two-outcome barbell, with a larger Grail share than Max but a lower Grail floor.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $15 – $20 | 79.36% | |
| $90 – $1,000beats price | 20.64% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 20.6%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $50 pack price.
- Expected value
- $30.48– $222.27
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 39%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $90 all the way to $1,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Odds transcribed from CrownCards's in-app “Estimated Odds & Values” screens, captured 2026-09-15. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 5 items this pack's Top Pulls screen shows
These are not this pack's contents. CrownCards draws this window from the pack's ceiling, not from what it holds . Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
95.5%of this pack's $1,000 stated ceiling is reached by its top item
19×the $50 price, for the single dearest item shown
5 of 15the screen shows five and offers “View More 10 Items” below them
- 1Tyrese Haliburton [Silver Prizm] #262Top Grail$954.79
- 2Victor Wembanyama…$945
- 3Kon Knueppel [Pris…$941.41
- 4Paige Bueckers [Wn…$920.81
- 5Lebron James [Gree…$913.50
Captured 2026-09-15 from CrownCards' own pack screen. Every item on the screen carries the Grail tag — the rarest of its six bands, which on this pack is a 4.3% chance on the Normal setting. So the gallery shows you the top band and nothing else. 4 of these 5 names are cut off by the app itself; they are recorded exactly as displayed rather than completed by us. Across all 23 Top Pulls screens we captured, the headline item lands between 75.6% and 100% of its pack's stated maximum and never above it.
Captured 2026-09-15. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.