Courtyard · Pokémon
Pokémon Legend (Spicy)
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $2,499 you paid 4.5% of the time on the Distribution style.
- Pack price
- $2,499
- Min value
- $1,200
- Max pull
- $79,900
- Break even
- 4.5%
Live from Courtyard
What this pack looks like right now
Read from Courtyard's own pack data Nov 2, 15:09 UTC, and refreshed every six hours. The card-by-card detail further down this page was captured by hand on Sep 8, 2026; these are the figures that move.
- 3pulls in 24 hourscounted by Courtyard, Nov 2, 15:07 UTC
- 53pulls in 7 daysa count over a stated window, not a rate
- 613pulls in 30 daysno other app in the category publishes this
- $2,499current pricemax 5 per transaction
- 96%Courtyard's stated EV$2,399.04 on a $2,499 pack · their figure
- 84.6%buy-back ratioof Courtyard's own valuation
Published payout odds, as they stand today
Courtyard's own bands. Each row is a value range and the chance of landing in it. They sum to 100%.
- $1,265.90 – $1,88053%
- $1,880 – $2,49917%
- $2,499 – $4,99826%
- $4,998 – $9,9963%
- $9,996 – $39,9841%
Courtyard states a floor of $1,265.90 on any card from this pack. A floor is not a guarantee of profit: this pack costs $2,499.
What the blockchain records — pulls, sales and buy-backs across every Courtyard pack, read from Polygon rather than from the app.
Published payout odds
Courtyard publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.
Courtyard's own published value distribution for this pack.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $1,200 – $1,800 | 44% | |
| $1,800 – $2,400 | 33% | |
| $2,400 – $4,900 | 19% | |
| $4,900 – $9,900beats price | 4% | |
| $9,900 – $79,900beats price | 0.5% | |
| Total | 100.5% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 4.5%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $2,499 pack price.
- Expected value
- $1,823.50– $3,310.50
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 27%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $9,900 all the way to $79,900. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Odds transcribed from Courtyard's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-08. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
Cards from this pack
We have this pack's odds straight from the app, but we haven't finished cataloguing the individual cards it features yet. Those go up as we capture them — each with its grade, certification number and the value band it falls into.
From our own chain index
Cards we have seen pulled from Pokémon Legend (Spicy)
Read from Courtyard's own on-chain records, not from a published list — Courtyard does not publish one. This is what people actually pulled, not what the pack contains. It is a sample and will always be a floor: we resolve a fraction of the pulls the chain carries.
| Card | Set | Grade | Slabs seen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pikachu#601st Edition | Pokémon Jungle1999 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Light Jolteon#135 | Pokémon Neo 42001 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Rayquaza#009Holo | Pokémon Pokepark Blue2005 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Blastoise EX#0921st Edition Holo Full Art | Pokémon Expansion 20th Anniversary2016 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Eevee#287Munch: A Retrospective | Pokémon SM Promo2018 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Magikarp & Wailord GX#099Holo Full Art | Pokémon Sun & Moon Tag Bolt2018 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Mewtwo & Mew GX#222Holo Full Art | Pokémon Sun & Moon Unified Minds2019 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Umbreon Vmax-Hyper#095Full Art | Pokémon Sword & Shield Eevee Heroes2021 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Pikachu#172Art Rare | Pokémon Simplified 151 C-Collection 1512025 | PSA10 | 1 |
“Slabs seen” counts distinct certificate numbers. Index covers Oct 16, 2026 to Nov 2, 2026. How we read Courtyard's chain.
Captured 2026-09-08. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.