Courtyard · Pokémon
Pokémon Legend (Spicy)
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $2,499 you paid 4.5% of the time on the Distribution style.
- Pack price
- $2,499
- Min value
- $1,200
- Max pull
- $79,900
- Break even
- 4.5%
Published payout odds
Courtyard publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.
Courtyard's own published value distribution for this pack.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $1,200 – $1,800 | 44% | |
| $1,800 – $2,400 | 33% | |
| $2,400 – $4,900 | 19% | |
| $4,900 – $9,900beats price | 4% | |
| $9,900 – $79,900beats price | 0.5% | |
| Total | 100.5% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 4.5%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $2,499 pack price.
- Expected value
- $1,823.50– $3,310.50
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 27%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $9,900 all the way to $79,900. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Odds transcribed from Courtyard's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-08. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
Cards from this pack
We have this pack's odds straight from the app, but we haven't finished cataloguing the individual cards it features yet. Those go up as we capture them — each with its grade, certification number and the value band it falls into.
Captured 2026-09-08. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.