CrownCards · Pokémon
Pokémon Gold Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $100 you paid 50% of the time on the Normal style.
- Pack price
- $100
- Min value
- $30
- Max pull
- $2,000
- Break even
- 50%
Published payout odds
CrownCards publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the volatility you pick.
The default distribution. Most weight in the middle bands.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $30 – $50 | 29.4% | |
| $50 – $100 | 20.6% | |
| $100 – $125beats price | 32.9% | |
| $125 – $150beats price | 7.5% | |
| $150 – $175beats price | 5.9% | |
| $175 – $2,000beats price | 3.7% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 50%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $100 pack price.
- Expected value
- $76.72– $172
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 23.3%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $175 all the way to $2,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Shifts weight out of the middle bands into Uncommon and Grail — a wider swing both ways.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $30 – $50 | 28.67% | |
| $50 – $100 | 51.25% | |
| $100 – $125beats price | 4.5% | |
| $125 – $150beats price | 2.3% | |
| $150 – $175beats price | 3.3% | |
| $175 – $2,000beats price | 9.99% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 20.1%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $100 pack price.
- Expected value
- $64.03– $280.24
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 36%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $175 all the way to $2,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Collapses to two outcomes: the floor band or Grail. Every pack offering it is exactly 90/10.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $30 – $50 | 90% | |
| $500 – $2,000beats price | 10% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 10%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $100 pack price.
- Expected value
- $77– $245
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 23%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Also a two-outcome barbell, with a larger Grail share than Max but a lower Grail floor.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $30 – $50 | 76.99% | |
| $175 – $2,000beats price | 23.01% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 23%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $100 pack price.
- Expected value
- $63.36– $498.70
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 36.6%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $175 all the way to $2,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Odds transcribed from CrownCards's in-app “Estimated Odds & Values” screens, captured 2026-09-15. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 5 items this pack's Top Pulls screen shows
These are not this pack's contents. CrownCards draws this window from the pack's ceiling, not from what it holds . Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
99.8%of this pack's $2,000 stated ceiling is reached by its top item
20×the $100 price, for the single dearest item shown
5 of 15the screen shows five and offers “View More 10 Items” below them
- 1Vaporeon ex #149Top Grail$1,995
- 2Umbreon #197$1,994.98
- 3Charizard #3$1,993.01
- 4Cubone [Series Iii]…$1,989.56
- 5Shining Kabutops #…$1,986.60
Captured 2026-09-15 from CrownCards' own pack screen. Every item on the screen carries the Grail tag — the rarest of its six bands, which on this pack is a 3.7% chance on the Normal setting. So the gallery shows you the top band and nothing else. 2 of these 5 names are cut off by the app itself; they are recorded exactly as displayed rather than completed by us. Across all 23 Top Pulls screens we captured, the headline item lands between 75.6% and 100% of its pack's stated maximum and never above it.
Captured 2026-09-15. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.