Courtyard · Basketball
Basketball Diamond Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $1,000 you paid 20.2% of the time on the Distribution style.
- Pack price
- $1,000
- Min value
- $700
- Max pull
- $16,000
- Break even
- 20.2%
Published payout odds
Courtyard publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.
Courtyard's own published value distribution for this pack.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $700 – $850 | 61% | |
| $850 – $1,000 | 19% | |
| $1,000 – $2,000beats price | 17% | |
| $2,000 – $4,000beats price | 3% | |
| $4,000 – $16,000beats price | 0.2% | |
| Total | 100.2% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 20.2%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $1,000 pack price.
- Expected value
- $826.50– $1,200.50
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 17.3%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Odds transcribed from Courtyard's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-08. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 36 slabs this pack's screen shows you
These are not this pack's contents. Courtyard shows one vault-wide leaderboard per sport on every pack screen, cut off at that pack's stated maximum pull — we proved it across 24 screens. Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
6.2×cheapest slab shown, as a multiple of the $1,000 price
36/36sit in the rarest band, $4,000–$16,000 at 0.2%
0/36sit in the other 4 bands, which Courtyard's own percentages total 100.0%
- BGS10$15,600
2024 Donruss Optic Gold #6 Ja Morant Downtown
- PSA8$15,120
1996 SPx #R1 Michael Jordan Record Breaker-Auto
- PSA10$15,071
1997 Bowman's Best #60 Michael Jordan Refractor
- PSA8$14,400
2018 Panini Flawless #VPSCY Stephen Curry Vertical Patch Auto-Ruby
$13,4131995 Flair Hot Numbers #4 Michael Jordan
- PSA10$13,345.70
2023 Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama Red Prizm
- BGS9.5$13,070.30
2018 Panini Prizm #280 Luka Doncic Prizms Blue Ice
$12,410.902018 Panini Select #201 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Tie-Dye Prizm
$11,4942021 Crown Royale #21 Cade Cunningham Kaboom!
- BGS9$11,075.20
2023 Immaculate Collection #6 Miller / Henderson Rookie Dual Logoman
$10,8492020 National Treasures #111 Anthony Edwards Rookie Patch Auto Horizontal Bronze
- BGS10$10,701.60
2001 Topps Pristine Autographs #A-TD Tim Duncan
$10,4732020 Panini Select #RSEDW Anthony Edwards Rk. Sig - Gold Prizm
$10,125.102023 Prizm #127 Keyonte George Gold
$9,6472018 Panini Prizm #184 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Prizms Choice Tiger Stripe
$9,3132024 Revolution #15 Victor Wembanyama Kaboom! Horizontal
- BGS9.5$8,977.50
2003 SP Signature Edition #MMJ McGrady / Garnett / James Signatures Triple
$8,766.902003 Bowman R. & S. #123 LeBron James Chrome
$8,762.101986 Star Best of the New/Old #2 Michael Jordan
$8,4302022 National Treasures #102 Jalen Williams JSY AU
$8,4002023 Topps 3 Relics Autographs Prime Platinum #RPJT Jayson Tatum
- PSA10$8,155
2018 Panini Prizm #184 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Purple Prizm
- BGS8.5$8,094.40
1998 Flair Showcase Takeit2.net #13 Michael Jordan
- PSA10$8,083
2022 Contenders Optic #112 Jalen Williams Autograph-Gold
$8,0002011 Upper Deck #35 Michael Jordan World of Sports-Auto.
$7,8281986 Fleer Sticker #9 Akeem Olajuwon
$7,6582021 National Treasures #LKD Luka Doncic Penmanship AU-Plat. 1/1
$7,328.701984 Star #235 John Stockton
- PSA10$7,218
2024 Revolution #1 Anthony Edwards Kaboom! Horizontal
- PSA10$7,125
2023 Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama Green Ice
$7,071.402003 Topps #221 LeBron James
$6,9822022 Bowman University #101 Victor Wembanyama Prospect Autograph
$6,6152021 Prizm #SSCCU Cade Cunningham Snstnl. Sig - Green Choice
- BGS9$6,600
2024 Panini Prizm #47 Ausar Thompson Prizms Choice Nebula
- BGS9.5$6,471.10
1997 Topps Seasons Best #S06 Michael Jordan
- BGS10$6,158.20
2005 Finest Green X-Fractors #91 LeBron James
19 of these 36 have a slab image captured; the rest show their grade until we photograph them. Courtyard's 5 bands sum to 100.2% — its rounding, not ours.
Captured 2026-09-08. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.