Courtyard · Basketball
Basketball Ultra Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $250 you paid 21.1% of the time on the Distribution style.
- Pack price
- $250
- Min value
- $176
- Max pull
- $4,000
- Break even
- 21.1%
Live from Courtyard
What this pack looks like right now
Read from Courtyard's own pack data Nov 2, 15:09 UTC, and refreshed every six hours. The card-by-card detail further down this page was captured by hand on Sep 8, 2026; these are the figures that move.
- 73pulls in 24 hourscounted by Courtyard, Nov 2, 15:07 UTC
- 382pulls in 7 daysa count over a stated window, not a rate
- 1,633pulls in 30 daysno other app in the category publishes this
- $250current pricemax 5 per transaction
- 96%Courtyard's stated EV$240 on a $250 pack · their figure
- 84.6%buy-back ratioof Courtyard's own valuation
Published payout odds, as they stand today
Courtyard's own bands. Each row is a value range and the chance of landing in it. They sum to 100%.
- $175 – $21548%
- $215 – $25022%
- $250 – $50028%
- $500 – $1,0001%
- $1,000 – $4,0001%
Courtyard states a floor of $175 on any card from this pack. A floor is not a guarantee of profit: this pack costs $250.
What the blockchain records — pulls, sales and buy-backs across every Courtyard pack, read from Polygon rather than from the app.
Published payout odds
Courtyard publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.
Courtyard's own published value distribution for this pack.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $176 – $215 | 60% | |
| $215 – $250 | 19% | |
| $250 – $500beats price | 19% | |
| $500 – $1,000beats price | 2% | |
| $1,000 – $4,000beats price | 0.1% | |
| Total | 100.1% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 21.1%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $250 pack price.
- Expected value
- $204.95– $295.50
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 18%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Odds transcribed from Courtyard's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-08. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 35 slabs this pack's screen shows you
These are not this pack's contents. Courtyard shows one vault-wide leaderboard per sport on every pack screen, cut off at that pack's stated maximum pull — we proved it across 24 screens. Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
10.8×cheapest slab shown, as a multiple of the $250 price
35/35sit in the rarest band, $1,000–$4,000 at 0.1%
0/35sit in the other 4 bands, which Courtyard's own percentages total 100.0%
- PSA10
$3,978.402015 Panini Immaculate Coll. #101 Karl-Anthony Towns Autograph Patch
- PSA10
$3,863.602021 Court Kings #2 Cade Cunningham Blank Slate
- BGS9.5
$3,7641997 Topps Chrome Refractors #115 Tim Duncan
- PSA10
$3,6842024 Prizm #16 Nikola Jokic Manga
- PSA9
$3,6422020 Panini Prizm #258 Anthony Edwards Orange Prizm
- PSA9
$3,5992016 U.D. Euroleague #23 Luka Doncic Autograph
- BGS9$3,580.80
2018 Panini Noir #111 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
- PSA9
$3,5602022 Contenders #115 Jalen Williams Autograph-Cracked Ice
- PSA10
$3,5271996 Stadium Club #CA1 Jordan / Stackhouse Class Acts-Refractor
- PSA10
$3,5142023 Prizm #150 Amen Thompson Mojo
- BGS9$3,448.30
2018 Certified Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Certified Potential Autos, Mirror Green
- BGS9.5$3,349.50
2003 Upper Deck Ultimate Collection #79 Yao Ming Autograph
- PSA10
$3,318.502024 Prizm WNBA #22 Caitlin Clark Silver Prizm
- PSA9
$3,3002023 Hoops Premium Stock #23 Scoot Henderson Sheesh-Premium Red Prizm
- PSA10
$3,2912023 Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama Pulsar
- PSA8
$3,182.502003 Topps Chrome #111 LeBron James
- PSA10
$3,151.702024 Donruss Optic #7 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Downtown
- BGS9.5$3,113.40
2018 Select #257 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Prizms Tie Dye
- PSA10
$3,025.902019 Panini Mosaic #FBJMT Ja Morant Auto Fast Break-Gold
- PSA10
$2,9972023 Obsidian #UMGDI Gradey Dick UM-Vibrant Mojo 1/1
- PSA10
$2,9962022 Prizm #249 Paolo Banchero White Sparkle
- PSA9
$2,977.802022 Contenders Optic #118 Paolo Banchero Autograph-Gold Wave
- PSA10
$2,972.602023 Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama Silver Prizm
- PSA10
$2,9652023 Panini One and One #3 Luka Doncic Downtown-Variation
- PSA9
$2,9502017 Panini Select #166 Jayson Tatum Zebra Prizm
- PSA10
$2,928.502020 Crown Royale #25 Deni Avdija Kaboom!
- PSA10
$2,890.402025 Topps Chrome #GC-6 Stephen Curry Glass Canvas
- PSA10
$2,8611996 Topps #138 Kobe Bryant
- PSA7
$2,8501980 Topps Bird / Erving / Johnson Scoring Leader
- PSA9
$2,843.902025 Topps Chrome #UV-8 Victor Wembanyama Ultra Violet
- PSA10
$2,8362018 Panini Prizm #FRSGA Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Fast Break Rookie Auto.
- PSA10
$2,8082024 Donruss Optic #1 Luka Doncic Downtown
- SGC10$2,740.50
2020 Panini Prizm #256 Tyrese Maxey Bronze Fast Break Prizm 2/20
- PSA10
$2,7312022 Contenders #112 Paolo Banchero Auto-Prem.Ed-Blue Shimmer
- PSA10
$2,7002022 Panini One and One #19 Paolo Banchero Downtown
13 of these 35 are photographs MyCardRips captured from the app. Where MyCardRips has no photograph, the slot shows the card render Courtyard publishes for that slab's own token, used with credit. Anything with neither shows its grade. Courtyard's 5 bands sum to 100.1% — its rounding, not ours.
From our own chain index
Cards we have seen pulled from Basketball Ultra Pack
Read from Courtyard's own on-chain records, not from a published list — Courtyard does not publish one. This is what people actually pulled, not what the pack contains. It is a sample and will always be a floor: we resolve a fraction of the pulls the chain carries.
| Card | Set | Grade | Slabs seen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Archibald#29 | Topps1971 | PSA8 | 1 |
| John Long/Magic Johnson/Ron Boone#111 | Topps1980 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Patrick Ewing#32 | Fleer1986 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Magic Johnson#53 | Fleer1986 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Isiah Thomas#10 | Fleer Sticker1986 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Scottie Pippen#20 | Fleer1988 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Dennis Rodman#43 | Fleer1988 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#22 | Fournier Estrellas1988 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#21 | Fleer1989 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan/Scottie Pippen#462 | Skybox1991 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Magic vs. Jordan#34 | Upper Deck1991 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#1 | Finest1993 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Kevin Garnett#115 | Finest1995 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#229w/Coating | Finest1995 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#M1 | Finest Mystery1995 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#212 | Metal1995 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#3 | Ultra Double Trouble1995 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#4 | Fleer Decade of Excellence1996 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#128 | Metal1996 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#241 | Metal1996 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Kobe Bryant#138 | Topps1996 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Allen Iverson#171 | Topps1996 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Kevin Garnett#10 | Hoops High Voltage1997 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#118 | Stadium Club1997 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#1 | Ultra Big Shots1997 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Kobe Bryant#AS5 | Finest Arena Stars1998 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#142 | Fleer Tradition1998 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Kobe Bryant#6 | Stadium Club Chrome1998 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Dikembe Mutombo/Hakeem Olajuwon#EW7 | Topps East - West1998 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#SQ30Blue | UD Choice Starquest1998 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Kobe Bryant/Michael Jordan#G2 | Upper Deck Century Legends Generations1998 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Chris Webber#101Refractor | Finest1999 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Kobe Bryant#115 | Metal1999 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#86 | Upper Deck Legends1999 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#61 | Fleer Force2001 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#90 | SP Authentic2001 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#99 | SP Authentic2002 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Kobe Bryant#4 | Flair2003 | PSA9 | 1 |
| LeBron James#17 | Upper Deck Lebron James Phenomenal Beginnings2003 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Kobe Bryant#17 | Fleer E-X2006 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Shaquille O'Neal#32Xfractor | Topps Chrome2008 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Stephen Curry#34 | Upper Deck Draft Edition2009 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Michael Jordan#74 | Upper Deck Jordan Legacy Gold2009 | PSA10 | 1 |
| LeBron James#14 | Panini Hoops2015 | PSA10 | 1 |
| LeBron James#15 | Panini Donruss Optic2016 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander#162Choice | Panini Donruss Optic2018 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Ja Morant#116Pink | Panini Chronicles2019 | PSA10 | 1 |
| LeBron James#1 | Panini Prizm2020 | PSA10 | 1 |
| LaMelo Ball#PALB | Panini Prizm Draft Picks Prospect Autographs2020 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Cade Cunningham#282Red/White/Blue Prizm | Panini Prizm2021 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Victor Wembanyama#2Variation | Panini Prizm Draft Picks2023 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Cooper Flagg#16Black Wave | Bowman Chrome University2024 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Cooper Flagg#1 | Bowman U Now2024 | BGS10 | 1 |
| Dalton Knecht#1 | Panini Mosaic Color Blast2024 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Victor Wembanyama#102Maroon Prizm | Panini Select2024 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Dylan Harper#202Season Tip Off | Topps2025 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Cooper Flagg#251Refractor | Topps Chrome2025 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Dylan Harper#252Blue X-Fractor | Topps Chrome2025 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Dylan Harper#252Image Variation-Green Speckle | Topps Chrome2025 | PSA8 | 1 |
| Cedric Coward#261Blue X-Fractor | Topps Chrome2025 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Pascal Siakam#GC-16 | Topps Chrome Glass Canvas2025 | PSA10 | 1 |
| Victor Wembanyama#SB-11 | Topps Sonic Boom2025 | PSA9 | 1 |
| Dylan Harper#13 | Topps Living2026 | PSA10 | 1 |
“Slabs seen” counts distinct certificate numbers. Index covers Oct 16, 2026 to Nov 2, 2026. How we read Courtyard's chain.
Captured 2026-09-08. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.