CrownCards · Watches
Watch Ruby Box
The app's own published payout odds for this box, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $1,000 you paid 50.4% of the time on the Normal style.
- Box price
- $1,000
- Min value
- $300
- Max pull
- $20,000
- Break even
- 50.4%
Published payout odds
CrownCards publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the volatility you pick.
The default distribution. Most weight in the middle bands.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $300 – $350 | 13.55% | |
| $350 – $1,000 | 36.1% | |
| $1,000 – $1,100beats price | 17.02% | |
| $1,100 – $1,250beats price | 14.98% | |
| $1,250 – $1,800beats price | 13.39% | |
| $1,800 – $20,000beats price | 4.96% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 50.4%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $1,000 pack price.
- Expected value
- $758.64– $2,015.92
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 24.1%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $1,800 all the way to $20,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Shifts weight out of the middle bands into Uncommon and Grail — a wider swing both ways.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $300 – $350 | 14.35% | |
| $350 – $1,000 | 59.72% | |
| $1,000 – $1,100beats price | 3.7% | |
| $1,100 – $1,250beats price | 5.09% | |
| $1,250 – $1,800beats price | 6.94% | |
| $1,800 – $20,000beats price | 10.19% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 25.9%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $1,000 pack price.
- Expected value
- $615.23– $2,914.67
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 38.5%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $1,800 all the way to $20,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Odds transcribed from CrownCards's in-app “Estimated Odds & Values” screens, captured 2026-09-15. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 5 items this pack's Top Pulls screen shows
These are not this pack's contents. CrownCards draws this window from the pack's ceiling, not from what it holds . Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
99.9%of this pack's $20,000 stated ceiling is reached by its top item
20×the $1,000 price, for the single dearest item shown
5 of 15the screen shows five and offers “View More 10 Items” below them
- 1Rolex Submariner Date 116613LNTop Grail$19,980
- 2Jaeger-Lecoultre Re…$19,939.50
- 3Hublot Sang Bleu 41…$19,863
- 4Breitling Navitimer A…$7,549.50
- 5Tag Heuer Monaco C…$7,549.50
Captured 2026-09-15 from CrownCards' own pack screen. Every item on the screen carries the Grail tag — the rarest of its six bands, which on this pack is a 4.96% chance on the Normal setting. So the gallery shows you the top band and nothing else. 4 of these 5 names are cut off by the app itself; they are recorded exactly as displayed rather than completed by us. Across all 23 Top Pulls screens we captured, the headline item lands between 75.6% and 100% of its pack's stated maximum and never above it.
Captured 2026-09-15. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.