Triumph · Basketball
Basketball Sapphire Pack
Every card below was captured from inside this pack in the app. Note that 20 of the 20 sit in the rarest value band — a 4.1% chance on the Normal style.
- Pack price
- $250
- Min value
- $75
- Max pull
- $5,000
- Break even
- 50%
Published payout odds
Triumph publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.
Reliable pulls with results close to the average value of a pack.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $75 – $100 | 19.2% | |
| $100 – $250 | 30.8% | |
| $250 – $275beats price | 14.2% | |
| $275 – $325beats price | 17.4% | |
| $325 – $425beats price | 14.3% | |
| $425 – $5,000beats price | 4.1% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 50%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $250 pack price.
- Expected value
- $192.45– $457.58
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 23%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $425 all the way to $5,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Wider swings with more weight on the higher tiers.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $75 – $100 | 19.5% | |
| $100 – $250 | 60.5% | |
| $250 – $275beats price | 1.8% | |
| $275 – $325beats price | 3.1% | |
| $325 – $425beats price | 5.1% | |
| $425 – $5,000beats price | 10.1% | |
| Total | 100.1% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 20.1%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $250 pack price.
- Expected value
- $147.65– $712.45
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 40.9%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $425 all the way to $5,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Odds transcribed from Triumph's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-04. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 20 cards we captured
Every card starts sealed in the Basketball Sapphire Pack, just like in the app — rip one open to see the slab inside. The app states this list is non-exhaustive.
Captured 2026-09-04. Values are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.