Courtyard · Basketball
Basketball Mythic Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $5,000 you paid 20.1% of the time on the Distribution style.
- Pack price
- $5,000
- Min value
- $3,500
- Max pull
- $80,000
- Break even
- 20.1%
Published payout odds
Courtyard publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.
Courtyard's own published value distribution for this pack.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $3,500 – $4,200 | 57% | |
| $4,200 – $5,000 | 23% | |
| $5,000 – $10,000beats price | 18% | |
| $10,000 – $20,000beats price | 2% | |
| $20,000 – $80,000beats price | 0.1% | |
| Total | 100.1% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 20.1%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $5,000 pack price.
- Expected value
- $4,081– $5,824
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 18.4%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Odds transcribed from Courtyard's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-08. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 34 slabs this pack's screen shows you
These are not this pack's contents. Courtyard shows one vault-wide leaderboard per sport on every pack screen, cut off at that pack's stated maximum pull — we proved it across 24 screens. Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
1.9×cheapest slab shown, as a multiple of the $5,000 price
13/34sit in the rarest band, $20,000–$80,000 at 0.1%
$66,0002022 Immaculate Collection #13 Anthony Edwards Premium Patch Autographs Platinum 1/1
$66,0002024 Donruss Optic #2 LeBron James Downtown-Gold
- BGS9.5$41,825
2023 Panini Flawless #2 Stephen Curry Star Swatch Signatures
- BGS10$34,421.40
2016 Select #100 LeBron James Prizms Gold
- BGS9.5$33,449
2018 Panini Flawless #16 Stephen Curry Vertical Patch Autographs Gold
- PSA9$28,268
2024 Prizm Deca #258 Anthony Edwards Black Prizm 1/1
- PSA10$26,080
2019 Panini Crown Royale #19 Stephen Curry Kaboom!
- PSA10$25,210.50
2024 Bowman Chrome U #16 Cooper Flagg Auto-Red Refractor
- BGS9.5$24,806.70
2018 Panini Contenders #108 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Cracked Ice Ticket AU
- SGC9$24,617.40
1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan Rookie
- PSA10$21,745
1996 Topps Chrome #171 Allen Iverson Refractor
- PSA10$21,197
1997 Topps Rock Stars #RS1 Michael Jordan Refractor
- BGS9$20,000
2003 SP Signature Edition #MJ Michael Jordan Signatures
- PSA9$19,261.50
1998 Skybox E-X Cent. #15DG Michael Jordan Dunk N Go-Nuts
- BGS8.5$19,200
2024 Panini Instant WNBA #RRAC Caitlin Clark Natl. Treasures Rookie Royalty Patch AU
- PSA10$18,962
2023 Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama Blue Sparkle
- PSA8$18,301.40
1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan
- BGS8.5$17,500.90
2003 Ultimate Collection #MJ Michael Jordan Signatures
- BGS9$16,433.30
2005 Upper Deck Hardcourt #MJ Michael Jordan Signatures SP
- BGS10$15,600
2024 Donruss Optic Gold #6 Ja Morant Downtown
- PSA8$15,120
1996 SPx #R1 Michael Jordan Record Breaker-Auto
- PSA10$15,071
1997 Bowman's Best #60 Michael Jordan Refractor
- PSA8$14,400
2018 Panini Flawless #VPSCY Stephen Curry Vertical Patch Auto-Ruby
$13,4131995 Flair Hot Numbers #4 Michael Jordan
- PSA10$13,345.70
2023 Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama Red Prizm
- BGS9.5$13,070.30
2018 Panini Prizm #280 Luka Doncic Prizms Blue Ice
$12,410.902018 Panini Select #201 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Tie-Dye Prizm
$11,4942021 Crown Royale #21 Cade Cunningham Kaboom!
- BGS9$11,075.20
2023 Immaculate Collection #6 Miller / Henderson Rookie Dual Logoman
$10,8492020 National Treasures #111 Anthony Edwards Rookie Patch Auto Horizontal Bronze
- BGS10$10,701.60
2001 Topps Pristine Autographs #A-TD Tim Duncan
$10,4732020 Panini Select #RSEDW Anthony Edwards Rk. Sig - Gold Prizm
$10,125.102023 Prizm #127 Keyonte George Gold
$9,6472018 Panini Prizm #184 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Prizms Choice Tiger Stripe
9 of these 34 have a slab image captured; the rest show their grade until we photograph them. Courtyard's 5 bands sum to 100.1% — its rounding, not ours.
Captured 2026-09-08. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.