CrownCards · Basketball
Basketball Sapphire Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $250 you paid 50% of the time on the Normal style.
- Pack price
- $250
- Min value
- $75
- Max pull
- $5,000
- Break even
- 50%
Published payout odds
CrownCards publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the volatility you pick.
The default distribution. Most weight in the middle bands.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $75 – $100 | 18.2% | |
| $100 – $250 | 31.8% | |
| $250 – $275beats price | 17.3% | |
| $275 – $325beats price | 15.8% | |
| $325 – $425beats price | 13% | |
| $425 – $5,000beats price | 3.9% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 50%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $250 pack price.
- Expected value
- $190.98– $446.88
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 23.6%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $425 all the way to $5,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Shifts weight out of the middle bands into Uncommon and Grail — a wider swing both ways.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $75 – $100 | 16.6% | |
| $100 – $250 | 63.4% | |
| $250 – $275beats price | 2.2% | |
| $275 – $325beats price | 2.9% | |
| $325 – $425beats price | 5% | |
| $425 – $5,000beats price | 9.9% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 20%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $250 pack price.
- Expected value
- $147.65– $706.83
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 40.9%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $425 all the way to $5,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Collapses to two outcomes: the floor band or Grail. Every pack offering it is exactly 90/10.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $75 – $100 | 90% | |
| $1,250 – $5,000beats price | 10% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 10%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $250 pack price.
- Expected value
- $192.50– $590
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 23%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Also a two-outcome barbell, with a larger Grail share than Max but a lower Grail floor.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $75 – $100 | 74.34% | |
| $425 – $5,000beats price | 25.66% | |
| Total | 100% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 25.7%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $250 pack price.
- Expected value
- $164.81– $1,357.34
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 34.1%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Why there's no single EV number: the top band runs from $425 all the way to $5,000. A midpoint across a band that wide would dominate the whole calculation and imply a return above 100%, so we publish the range and lean on the floor instead.
Odds transcribed from CrownCards's in-app “Estimated Odds & Values” screens, captured 2026-09-15. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 5 items this pack's Top Pulls screen shows
These are not this pack's contents. CrownCards draws this window from the pack's ceiling, not from what it holds . Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
88.7%of this pack's $5,000 stated ceiling is reached by its top item
18×the $250 price, for the single dearest item shown
5 of 15the screen shows five and offers “View More 10 Items” below them
- 1Cooper Flagg #TCAR-CFTop Grail$4,435.28
- 2Lebron James #111$4,312.98
- 3Cooper Flagg [Refra…$4,258.28
- 4Kon Knueppel #Tcar…$3,255
- 5Cooper Flagg [Skylig…$2,990.40
Captured 2026-09-15 from CrownCards' own pack screen. Every item on the screen carries the Grail tag — the rarest of its six bands, which on this pack is a 3.9% chance on the Normal setting. So the gallery shows you the top band and nothing else. 3 of these 5 names are cut off by the app itself; they are recorded exactly as displayed rather than completed by us. Across all 23 Top Pulls screens we captured, the headline item lands between 75.6% and 100% of its pack's stated maximum and never above it.
Captured 2026-09-15. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.