Courtyard · Basketball
Basketball Starter Pack
The app's own published payout odds for this pack, band by band. A pull is worth at least the $25 you paid 18.1% of the time on the Distribution style.
- Pack price
- $25
- Min value
- $17.50
- Max pull
- $299.99
- Break even
- 18.1%
Published payout odds
Courtyard publishes odds by value band, not per card — and they change with the pack style you pick.
Courtyard's own published value distribution for this pack.
| Pull value | Chance | Share |
|---|---|---|
| $17.50 – $21 | 24% | |
| $21 – $25 | 58% | |
| $25 – $50beats price | 17% | |
| $50 – $100beats price | 1% | |
| $100 – $299.99beats price | 0.1% | |
| Total | 100.1% |
- Chance of at least breaking even
- 18.1%
- Odds of landing in a band whose floor is at or above the $25 pack price.
- Expected value
- $21.23– $29.34
- Low assumes every pull lands at its band floor; high assumes the ceiling.
- House edge (worst case)
- 15.1%
- From the low EV bound — the figure we consider defensible.
Odds transcribed from Courtyard's in-app “Estimated Payout Odds” screens, captured 2026-09-08. The app states odds are “calculated in real time at the time of purchase and subject to change”.
The 36 slabs this pack's screen shows you
These are not this pack's contents. Courtyard shows one vault-wide leaderboard per sport on every pack screen, cut off at that pack's stated maximum pull — we proved it across 24 screens. Read it as the shop window, not the inventory.
11.0×cheapest slab shown, as a multiple of the $25 price
36/36sit in the rarest band, $100–$299.99 at 0.1%
0/36sit in the other 4 bands, which Courtyard's own percentages total 100.0%
$299.301998 Fleer Tradition #142 Michael Jordan
$2991986 Fleer #82 Akeem Olajuwon
- PSA9$298.90
1996 Bowman's Best RK #R23 Kobe Bryant
$297.201996 Fleer Lucky 13 #13 Kobe Bryant
- BGS9$296.10
1996 Metal #M4 Kobe Bryant
$2962025 Topps #211 Cedric Coward Golden Mirror
$294.902009 UD Jordan Legacy #97 Michael Jordan Gold
$2942025 Topps Cosmic Chrome #12 Cooper Flagg
$2942022 Contenders #131 Josh Minott Autograph-Cracked Ice
$293.101986 Fleer Sticker #11 Dominique Wilkins
$292.902024 Select WNBA #72 Caitlin Clark Pink Ice
- PSA10$292.90
2023 Prizm Draft Picks #2 Victor Wembanyama Silver
$2922020 Panini Prizm #292 Cole Anthony Choice Prizm-Tiger Stripe
$2912023 Donruss #NDDLV Dereck Lively II Next Day-Autograph
$2912019 Panini Donruss WNBA #AWS A'ja Wilson Sig Ser-Press Proof
- PSA9$290
2023 Topps Chrome #1 Victor Wembanyama Orange BK Refractor
- PSA9$290
1997 Coll. Choice Japanese #MJ7 Michael Jordan Jordan Commemorative
- PSA7$289.40
1988 Fleer #17 Michael Jordan
- PSA8$289.30
1995 Ultra #3 Michael Jordan Double Trouble
$2891999 SPx SPxcitement #S20 Michael Jordan
$286.801997 Topps #115 Tim Duncan
- PSA9$286.40
2022 National Treasures #CHG Chet Holmgren Rookie Materials Auto Triple
- PSA10$285.90
2025 Topps Chrome #253 VJ Edgecombe Basketball Refractor
- PSA9$284.80
2023 Topps Chrome #1 Victor Wembanyama Blue Basketball Refractor
- PSA9$284
2024 Prizm WNBA #10 Angel Reese Cherry Blossoms FOTL
- PSA8$284
1996 Flair Showcase #3 Allen Iverson Row 0
- PSA10$282.40
2025 Topps Chrome #255 Ace Bailey Refractor
- PSA9$282
2005 U.D. M.J./L.J. #LJMJ2 M. Jordan / L. James Bonus Pack
- PSA10$281.20
2024 Select WNBA #151 Caitlin Clark Pink Ice
- PSA10$281
1996 Topps #171 Allen Iverson
- PSA9$280.90
2013 Panini Prizm #290 Giannis Antetokounmpo
- PSA9$280
2024 Revolution #27 Ron Holland II Kaboom Horizontal
- PSA8$278
1981 Fleer #28 Rudy LaRusso
- PSA8$276.80
1981 Topps #4 Larry Bird
- PSA8$276.40
1997 UD3 MJ3 #MJ3-1 Michael Jordan
- PSA10$275.50
2025 Topps Chrome #BD-22 Dylan Harper Ball of Duty-Magenta Ref
14 of these 36 have a slab image captured; the rest show their grade until we photograph them. Courtyard's 5 bands sum to 100.1% — its rounding, not ours.
Captured 2026-09-08. Any values shown are the app's own live fair-market-value figures at that moment and drift over time.